Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 4.9 in
- RP forecast
- 4.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.27 | 1.29 | 21.3% | 7.4% | 43.5% |
| RP | 3.81 | 1.25 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 45.5% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.9 in | 4.9 in | 4.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.9 in | 14.9 in | 14.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.2 mph | 94.8 mph | 94.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.3 in | 6.4 in | 6.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.9 in | 14.0 in | 13.9 in |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 98 | 98 | 98 |
| Zone rate | 49.1% | 49.6% | 49.3% | 49.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.2% | 28.6% | 29.2% | 28.6% |
| Whiff rate | 22.5% | 23.2% | 24.9% | 23.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.8% | 43.5% | 45.5% | 43.5% |
| Hard-hit rate | 47.0% | 42.0% | 39.5% | 42.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.3% | 21.3% | 23.4% | 21.3% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 46.3% | 46.8% | 46.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 40.7% | 40.7% | 40.7% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.1% | 26.6% | 26.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.4% | 13.5% | 14.4% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 17.5% | 18.8% | 17.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.2% | 15.5% | 16.2% |