Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.4 in
- RP forecast
- 11.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.4 in | 11.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.3 in | 16.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.7 mph | 96.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.2 in | 11.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.2 in | 7.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 109 | 103 | 104 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 105 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 88 | 88 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.9% | 47.9% | 47.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.8% | 28.8% | 29.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 32.6% | 28.5% | 30.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.1% | 40.5% | 42.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 28.9% | 37.8% | 35.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 29.4% | 25.2% | 27.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.6% | 32.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.6% | 62.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 45.9% | 46.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.8% | 3.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.1% | 29.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.5% | 14.7% | — |