Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.1 in
- RP forecast
- 7.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.1 in | 7.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.7 in | 17.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.3 mph | 94.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.7 in | 3.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.8 in | 13.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 43.9% | 46.2% | 46.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.0% | 28.8% | 29.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 33.5% | 28.4% | 30.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.0% | 39.7% | 41.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.3% | 41.4% | 39.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 28.0% | 22.2% | 24.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 43.1% | 43.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 45.8% | 45.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.4% | 36.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.4% | 11.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 38.9% | 40.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.9% | 12.1% | — |