Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.5 in
- RP forecast
- 7.4 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.5 in | 7.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.7 in | 18.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.5 mph | 93.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.9 in | 6.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.3 in | 15.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 93 | 93 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.6% | 47.8% | 47.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.2% | 28.1% | 28.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.8% | 24.3% | 26.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.2% | 36.8% | 38.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.5% | 40.1% | 37.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 17.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 15.8% | 17.7% | 19.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.3% | 37.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.1% | 53.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 38.1% | 38.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.0% | 7.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.5% | 1.9% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.3% | 22.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.3% | 15.5% | — |