Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.9 in
- RP forecast
- 5.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.9 in | 5.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.9 in | 16.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.6 mph | 94.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.7 in | 7.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.8 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 49.4% | 48.6% | 48.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.8% | 26.6% | 27.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 14.0% | 19.6% | 21.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 21.4% | 28.5% | 30.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.7% | 40.5% | 38.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 5.0% | 16.9% | 19.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 20.6% | 21.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 73.4% | 73.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 30.7% | 31.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 5.9% | 5.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.4% | 25.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.7% | 18.0% | — |