Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.3 in
- RP forecast
- 15.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.3 in | 15.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.7 in | 5.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.5 mph | 91.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.6 in | 12.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Zone rate | 43.8% | 46.7% | 46.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 23.7% | 26.8% | 27.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.4% | 25.0% | 26.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.1% | 45.7% | 47.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 31.0% | 38.1% | 35.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.4% | 22.2% | 24.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 39.2% | 39.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.1% | 51.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.7% | 30.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.6% | 8.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.1% | 23.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.6% | 17.8% | — |