Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.7 in
- RP forecast
- 4.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.7 in | 4.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.0 in | 18.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.0 mph | 95.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.9 in | 10.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.2 in | 18.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 107 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Zone rate | 49.2% | 49.1% | 48.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.3% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.0% | 24.5% | 26.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.1% | 39.9% | 41.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 46.3% | 41.0% | 38.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.3% | 20.9% | 23.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.8% | 30.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.3% | 61.3% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.5% | 50.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.0% | 7.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.1% | 1.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.9% | 23.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 10.1% | 9.4% | — |