Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 13.3 in
- RP forecast
- 13.3 in
Loading projection…
Saved source inputs unavailable
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.56 | 1.33 | 20.9% | 9.1% | 33.7% |
| RP | 4.10 | 1.29 | 23.0% | 9.4% | 35.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.3 in | 13.3 in | 13.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.3 in | 12.3 in | 12.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.2 mph | 90.7 mph | 90.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.6 in | 10.8 in | 10.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.5 in | 8.6 in | 8.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 110 | 110 | 110 |
| Zone rate | 47.0% | 47.1% | 46.9% | 47.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.3% | 27.4% | 28.0% | 27.4% |
| Whiff rate | 24.1% | 24.1% | 25.9% | 24.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% |
| Ground-ball rate | 32.4% | 33.7% | 35.7% | 33.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 31.5% | 34.8% | 32.3% | 34.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.3% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 20.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.1% | 33.7% | 33.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.7% | 55.8% | 55.7% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.5% | 33.0% | 32.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| First secondary usage | — | 31.5% | 32.7% | 31.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.1% | 18.3% | 19.1% |