Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 4.9 in
- RP forecast
- 4.8 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.15 | 1.26 | 23.6% | 8.1% | 38.6% |
| RP | 3.69 | 1.22 | 25.7% | 8.3% | 40.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.9 in | 4.8 in | 4.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.7 in | 18.7 in | 18.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.8 mph | 96.4 mph | 95.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.1 in | 10.3 in | 10.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.8 in | 5.9 in | 5.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 48.7% | 49.1% | 48.9% | 49.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.5% | 30.4% | 31.0% | 30.4% |
| Whiff rate | 25.0% | 25.6% | 27.4% | 25.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.7% | 38.6% | 40.6% | 38.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.2% | 39.8% | 37.4% | 39.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 24.5% | 23.6% | 25.7% | 23.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.2% | 25.8% | 25.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.0% | 53.1% | 53.0% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.6% | 37.2% | 36.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.5% | 21.6% | 22.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.4% | 22.6% | 21.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% |