Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.6 in
- RP forecast
- 4.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.6 in | 4.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 19.1 in | 19.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.0 mph | 95.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.7 in | 11.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.2 in | 5.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 98 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 47.2% | 47.5% | 47.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.4% | 30.2% | 30.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 38.3% | 31.1% | 32.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 20.8% | 31.5% | 33.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 38.5% | 36.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 20.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 27.1% | 22.5% | 24.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.4% | 26.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 45.4% | 45.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 39.3% | 39.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 29.9% | 29.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.7% | 24.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.5% | 22.8% | — |