Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.3 in
- RP forecast
- 7.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.3 in | 7.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.6 in | 18.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.2 mph | 94.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.9 in | 4.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.6 in | 15.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.4% | 47.6% | 47.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.2% | 29.2% | 29.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 18.7% | 21.4% | 23.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 12.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.4% | 38.8% | 40.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 50.9% | 43.7% | 41.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 18.1% | 19.1% | 21.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 40.4% | 40.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.5% | 49.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.9% | 35.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.6% | 9.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.6% | 0.9% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.0% | 27.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.1% | 13.3% | — |