Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.9 in
- RP forecast
- 10.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.9 in | 10.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.6 in | 13.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.8 mph | 91.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.8 in | 11.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.0% | 47.9% | 47.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.7% | 27.1% | 27.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 18.5% | 20.8% | 22.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 28.2% | 37.4% | 39.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.2% | 39.4% | 37.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 18.2% | 18.4% | 20.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 19.4% | 19.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.1% | 60.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 48.6% | 49.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 21.0% | 20.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.4% | 22.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.4% | 14.7% | — |