Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.4 in
- RP forecast
- 6.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.4 in | 6.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.5 in | 17.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.2 mph | 96.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.7 in | 16.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.9 in | 5.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.1% | 48.8% | 48.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.6% | 28.7% | 29.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.2% | 23.5% | 25.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.8% | 39.1% | 41.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.7% | 43.2% | 40.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.8% | 20.1% | 22.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 30.7% | 31.3% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.0% | 49.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.7% | 43.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 21.5% | 20.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 19.2% | 20.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.5% | 14.7% | — |