Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.0 in
- RP forecast
- 9.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.0 in | 9.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.3 in | 16.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.5 mph | 95.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.8 in | 3.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.3 in | 17.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.7% | 47.5% | 47.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 23.3% | 26.8% | 27.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.3% | 22.4% | 24.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.9% | 37.9% | 39.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.9% | 39.8% | 37.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 16.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.2% | 18.7% | 20.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.3% | 37.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.4% | 48.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 40.0% | 40.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.1% | 13.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.8% | 34.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.9% | 14.2% | — |