Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 11.0 in
- RP forecast
- 10.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.16 | 1.20 | 22.4% | 6.2% | 35.8% |
| RP | 3.70 | 1.16 | 24.5% | 6.5% | 37.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.0 in | 10.9 in | 11.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.4 in | 17.4 in | 17.4 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.2 mph | 91.8 mph | 91.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.8 in | 12.9 in | 12.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.5 in | 13.6 in | 13.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 46.0% | 48.3% | 48.0% | 48.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.4% | 31.8% | 32.4% | 31.8% |
| Whiff rate | 30.0% | 26.4% | 28.2% | 26.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.7% | 35.8% | 37.8% | 35.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.9% | 38.7% | 36.2% | 38.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 24.6% | 22.4% | 24.5% | 22.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 19.2% | 19.8% | 19.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 47.2% | 47.2% | 47.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 38.6% | 39.2% | 38.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 33.5% | 32.6% | 33.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.3% | 33.5% | 32.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.5% | 14.7% | 15.5% |