Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.3 in
- RP forecast
- 4.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.3 in | 4.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.9 in | 18.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.2 mph | 96.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.4 in | 6.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 107 | 102 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.6% | 47.1% | 46.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.9% | 30.1% | 30.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 37.7% | 30.5% | 32.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 17.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 25.5% | 35.0% | 37.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 46.8% | 41.6% | 39.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.0% | 23.7% | 25.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 39.0% | 39.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.5% | 54.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 47.8% | 48.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 6.1% | 5.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 34.3% | 35.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |