Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.9 in
- RP forecast
- 5.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.9 in | 5.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.8 in | 15.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.0 mph | 95.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.7 in | 4.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.1 in | 15.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 43.0% | 45.8% | 45.6% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 22.4% | 26.6% | 27.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 15.7% | 21.3% | 23.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.7% | 38.2% | 40.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.3% | 38.9% | 36.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.3% | 18.2% | 20.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 39.5% | 40.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 39.8% | 39.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 21.3% | 21.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 23.1% | 22.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 34.8% | 36.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.4% | 21.6% | — |