Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.5 in
- RP forecast
- 6.4 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.5 in | 6.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.7 in | 12.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.3 mph | 95.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.1 in | 3.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.8 in | 10.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 39.0% | 45.0% | 44.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.8% | 28.1% | 28.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.0% | 24.2% | 26.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 22.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 40.0% | 42.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 39.5% | 37.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.4% | 20.5% | 22.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.3% | 32.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 42.5% | 42.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.8% | 34.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 27.5% | 26.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.9% | 28.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 27.2% | 26.5% | — |