Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.2 in
- RP forecast
- 14.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.2 in | 14.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.1 in | 10.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.1 mph | 95.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.1 in | 7.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.3 in | 16.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 47.8% | 48.0% | 47.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 19.4% | 23.3% | 23.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 24.7% | 21.6% | 23.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 40.7% | 42.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 63.0% | 47.6% | 45.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 16.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.9% | 17.7% | 19.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.1% | 33.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.4% | 57.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.9% | 30.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.5% | 8.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.2% | 30.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.2% | 23.4% | — |