Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.4 in
- RP forecast
- 7.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.4 in | 7.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.2 in | 15.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 89.6 mph | 90.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.7 in | 5.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.8 in | 12.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 97 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.2% | 45.4% | 45.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.8% | 28.0% | 28.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 30.6% | 25.8% | 27.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.6% | 40.8% | 42.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.2% | 38.3% | 35.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.9% | 19.9% | 21.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.1% | 35.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.9% | 44.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.7% | 35.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 20.6% | 19.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.0% | 33.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.5% | 18.7% | — |