Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 2.8 in
- RP forecast
- 2.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 2.8 in | 2.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.3 in | 17.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.9 mph | 96.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.6 in | 9.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.9 in | 14.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 108 | 104 | 105 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 106 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 106 | 106 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Zone rate | 52.2% | 50.9% | 50.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.3% | 31.2% | 31.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.2% | 26.0% | 27.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.3% | 41.3% | 43.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.7% | 39.2% | 36.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 28.5% | 24.1% | 26.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.5% | 25.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 73.8% | 73.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 25.2% | 25.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.3% | 1.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 36.3% | 37.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.1% | 16.3% | — |