Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.6 in
- RP forecast
- 15.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.6 in | 15.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.3 in | 11.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.5 mph | 93.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.0 in | 15.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.8 in | 6.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 101 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 106 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 62.1% | 53.7% | 53.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 4.5% | 22.4% | 23.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 9.1% | 18.1% | 19.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 50.0% | 44.1% | 46.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.3% | 38.2% | 35.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 1.8 pp | 1.8 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 23.5% | 21.7% | 23.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.5% | 27.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.3% | 61.3% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.6% | 36.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 11.6% | 10.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.8% | 25.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.8% | 16.0% | — |