Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.1 in
- RP forecast
- 15.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.1 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 6.2 in | 6.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.7 mph | 91.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 18.0 in | 18.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 91 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 91 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 58.8% | 52.4% | 52.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 37.1% | 29.4% | 30.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 18.4% | 18.8% | 20.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 22.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.4% | 41.0% | 43.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 50.0% | 44.2% | 41.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 3.1 pp | 3.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 25.0% | 18.3% | 20.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.4% | 38.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.1% | 48.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.6% | 27.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.1% | 13.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 34.3% | 35.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.6% | 13.9% | — |