Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 13.8 in
- RP forecast
- 13.7 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.8 in | 13.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.8 in | 10.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.5 mph | 93.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.4 in | 12.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.5 in | 17.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 62.5% | 56.4% | 56.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 0.0% | 17.7% | 18.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 0.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 100.0% | 26.6% | 25.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 0.0% | 25.6% | 27.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 100.0% | 50.3% | 47.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.9 pp | -0.9 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 50.0% | 25.9% | 28.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 41.5% | 42.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.2% | 52.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 21.0% | 21.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.6% | 3.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 38.3% | 39.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 25.9% | 25.1% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable