Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 16.0 in
- RP forecast
- 15.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.0 in | 15.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 5.0 in | 5.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.7 mph | 91.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.5 in | 12.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.2 in | 16.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.0% | 47.1% | 46.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 34.3% | 28.9% | 29.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 22.5% | 22.2% | 24.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 36.5% | 41.1% | 43.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 23.1% | 35.8% | 33.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.2% | 18.8% | 20.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 38.1% | 38.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.4% | 58.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.7% | 29.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.4% | 1.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 35.2% | 36.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.9% | 18.2% | — |