Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 12.7 in
- RP forecast
- 12.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.7 in | 12.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 8.6 in | 8.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.2 mph | 90.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.0 in | 15.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.8 in | 15.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.8% | 48.3% | 48.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.3% | 27.3% | 27.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 24.6% | 22.7% | 24.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 48.3% | 45.3% | 47.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 27.6% | 37.2% | 34.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 16.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.8% | 20.9% | 23.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.5% | 25.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.8% | 59.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 45.3% | 45.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.8% | 14.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.8% | 22.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.0% | 16.2% | — |