Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 3.4 in
- RP forecast
- 3.4 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.46 | 1.34 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 44.3% |
| RP | 4.00 | 1.30 | 21.5% | 8.6% | 46.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.4 in | 3.4 in | 3.4 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.3 in | 11.4 in | 11.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.7 mph | 93.2 mph | 92.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.4 in | 14.5 in | 14.4 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.5 in | 11.6 in | 11.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 90 | 91 | 90 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 50.6% | 49.2% | 49.0% | 49.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.6% | 27.8% | 28.4% | 27.8% |
| Whiff rate | 20.7% | 22.1% | 23.8% | 22.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.5% | 44.3% | 46.3% | 44.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.0% | 37.7% | 35.3% | 37.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 19.8% | 19.5% | 21.5% | 19.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.9% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.5% | 58.5% | 58.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 43.6% | 44.2% | 43.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.7% |