Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 8.5 in
- RP forecast
- 8.4 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.5 in | 8.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.5 in | 17.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.2 mph | 96.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 4.4 in | 4.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.6 in | 18.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 104 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.0% | 47.1% | 46.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.7% | 30.3% | 30.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 26.7% | 25.8% | 27.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.8% | 36.6% | 38.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.2% | 38.6% | 36.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 23.6% | 20.7% | 22.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 34.9% | 35.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 46.4% | 46.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.0% | 27.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 18.8% | 17.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 31.6% | 32.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.9% | 16.1% | — |