Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 11.7 in
- RP forecast
- 11.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.25 | 1.28 | 20.8% | 7.3% | 44.1% |
| RP | 3.79 | 1.24 | 22.8% | 7.6% | 46.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.7 in | 11.7 in | 11.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.9 in | 12.0 in | 11.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.4 mph | 92.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.6 in | 13.7 in | 13.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.0 in | 17.1 in | 17.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 47.9% | 48.2% | 48.0% | 48.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 37.4% | 30.8% | 31.4% | 30.8% |
| Whiff rate | 23.7% | 23.9% | 25.7% | 23.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.8% | 44.1% | 46.1% | 44.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.9% | 38.5% | 36.0% | 38.5% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 20.8% | 22.8% | 20.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 16.2% | 16.7% | 16.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.4% | 60.4% | 60.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.3% | 33.9% | 33.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 24.1% | 23.2% | 24.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.8% | 26.1% | 24.8% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.2% | 21.4% | 22.2% |