Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 17.1 in
- RP forecast
- 17.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 17.1 in | 17.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 8.2 in | 8.3 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.7 in | 14.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.5 in | 4.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 88 | 94 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 48.1% | 48.7% | 48.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 26.4% | 27.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 12.0% | 16.9% | 18.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.5% | 43.3% | 45.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.4% | 40.3% | 37.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 14.3% | 15.1% | 17.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.4% | 27.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.3% | 51.3% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 35.5% | 36.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 23.0% | 22.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.9% | 22.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.5% | 19.7% | — |