Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.9 in
- RP forecast
- 7.8 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.39 | 1.29 | 20.9% | 7.9% | 37.2% |
| RP | 3.93 | 1.25 | 23.0% | 8.2% | 39.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.9 in | 7.8 in | 7.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.2 in | 14.3 in | 14.2 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.4 mph | 92.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.2 in | 15.3 in | 15.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.7 in | 16.8 in | 16.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 109 | 109 | 109 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 52.4% | 50.6% | 50.4% | 50.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.1% | 27.5% | 28.1% | 27.5% |
| Whiff rate | 22.5% | 23.9% | 25.6% | 23.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.7% | 37.2% | 39.2% | 37.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.0% | 36.6% | 34.2% | 36.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.3% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 20.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 27.9% | 28.5% | 27.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.6% | 60.6% | 60.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 22.9% | 23.5% | 22.9% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 11.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.9% | 27.1% | 25.9% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.2% | 20.5% | 21.2% |