Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.3 in
- RP forecast
- 10.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.3 in | 10.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.5 in | 14.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.1 mph | 94.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 18.6 in | 18.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 2.9 in | 3.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 101 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 36.6% | 44.0% | 43.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 20.3% | 26.5% | 27.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 16.1% | 21.4% | 23.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 22.2% | 34.7% | 36.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 22.2% | 36.1% | 33.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 35.0% | 14.2% | 14.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 21.3% | 23.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 16.9% | 17.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 68.4% | 68.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.7% | 37.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.1% | 14.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.5% | 30.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.9% | 12.1% | — |