Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 3.1 in
- RP forecast
- 3.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.1 in | 3.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.3 in | 14.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.1 mph | 93.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.5 in | 12.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.1 in | 15.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 94 | 94 | — |
| Zone rate | 38.8% | 44.9% | 44.7% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.2% | 30.0% | 30.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.1% | 25.3% | 27.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.5% | 40.8% | 42.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.0% | 39.7% | 37.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.6% | 22.3% | 24.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 47.9% | 48.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 47.8% | 47.8% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 13.2% | 13.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.4% | 2.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.0% | 30.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 25.6% | 24.8% | — |