Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.5 in
- RP forecast
- 5.4 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.5 in | 5.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.2 in | 17.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.1 mph | 95.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.7 in | 5.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 19.3 in | 19.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 48.6% | 48.1% | 47.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.7% | 28.4% | 29.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 22.3% | 22.0% | 23.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.1% | 40.1% | 42.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 46.5% | 44.1% | 41.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.7 pp | 0.7 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 23.5% | 20.0% | 22.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.5% | 26.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.5% | 56.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.7% | 37.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.8% | 16.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 15.7% | 16.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.5% | 15.8% | — |