Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 16.6 in
- RP forecast
- 16.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.6 in | 16.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 6.6 in | 6.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.0 mph | 94.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.5 in | 5.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.5 in | 17.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 95 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.3% | 49.2% | 49.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 28.4% | 29.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 15.8% | 19.7% | 21.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 51.7% | 47.3% | 49.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 28.1% | 38.6% | 36.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 10.9% | 16.0% | 18.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 53.6% | 54.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 41.1% | 41.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.3% | 24.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.4% | 2.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 49.2% | 50.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.2% | 12.4% | — |