Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.8 in
- RP forecast
- 14.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.8 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.0 in | 13.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 84.0 mph | 84.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 22.2 in | 22.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.6 in | 18.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 92 | 93 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 89 | 89 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 40.2% | 46.4% | 46.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 42.3% | 29.3% | 29.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 37.8% | 25.8% | 27.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.9% | 36.5% | 38.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.7% | 36.2% | 33.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.1% | 18.3% | 20.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 6.6% | 7.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.5% | 59.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.0% | 36.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 34.1% | 33.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.2% | 31.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.1% | 19.3% | — |