Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.6 in
- RP forecast
- 9.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.6 in | 9.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.4 in | 14.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 100.4 mph | 101.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.5 in | 14.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.4 in | 7.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 120 | 108 | 109 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 112 | 114 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 89 | 89 | — |
| Zone rate | 49.4% | 50.5% | 50.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 20.2% | 26.2% | 26.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 31.5% | 29.2% | 30.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 27.3% | 37.8% | 39.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 30.3% | 38.7% | 36.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 29.5% | 24.5% | 26.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 11.6% | 12.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 84.7% | 84.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 58.0% | 58.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.5% | 1.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.1% | 1.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.9% | 26.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 10.6% | 9.9% | — |