Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.0 in
- RP forecast
- 3.9 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Saved source inputs unavailable
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.0 in | 3.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.0 in | 18.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.1 mph | 95.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.5 in | 6.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 100 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 85 | 85 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.6% | 46.5% | 46.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.5% | 28.1% | 28.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.2% | 27.4% | 29.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 48.4% | 40.6% | 42.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.0% | 41.0% | 38.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.5 pp | 0.5 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.8% | 10.9% | 11.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.5% | 23.5% | 25.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 46.6% | 47.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 50.5% | 50.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 45.1% | 45.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.3% | 1.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.0% | 1.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 42.8% | 44.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |