Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.7 in
- RP forecast
- 7.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.7 in | 7.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.6 in | 16.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.8 mph | 95.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.0 in | 10.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.8 in | 5.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 105 | 102 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 106 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 105 | 105 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.4% | 49.8% | 49.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.1% | 29.8% | 30.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 28.8% | 27.2% | 28.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.4% | 39.8% | 41.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.4% | 40.9% | 38.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.3 pp | -0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 24.7% | 23.6% | 25.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.5% | 36.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.0% | 48.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 38.8% | 39.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.6% | 15.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.9% | 1.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 16.3% | 17.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.0% | 13.2% | — |