Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 2.9 in
- RP forecast
- 2.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 2.9 in | 2.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.7 in | 16.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.5 mph | 96.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.7 in | 12.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 96 | 99 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 46.7% | 48.1% | 47.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.7% | 30.6% | 31.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.3% | 25.1% | 26.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 55.0% | 46.3% | 48.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.0% | 39.8% | 37.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.9 pp | 0.9 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 15.4% | 19.8% | 21.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.2% | 26.7% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.2% | 56.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.4% | 45.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 19.3% | 18.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 18.7% | 20.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.3% | 12.5% | — |