Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 3.5 in
- RP forecast
- 3.4 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.21 | 1.29 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 43.8% |
| RP | 3.75 | 1.25 | 24.7% | 8.5% | 45.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.5 in | 3.4 in | 3.5 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.9 in | 16.9 in | 16.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.5 mph | 97.0 mph | 96.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.7 in | 7.8 in | 7.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.3 in | 16.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Zone rate | 47.5% | 48.1% | 47.9% | 48.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.8% | 30.4% | 31.0% | 30.4% |
| Whiff rate | 25.6% | 25.9% | 27.7% | 25.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.6% | 43.8% | 45.8% | 43.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.1% | 38.4% | 36.0% | 38.4% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.8% | 22.6% | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 38.1% | 38.6% | 38.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 45.1% | 45.1% | 45.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.7% | 32.3% | 31.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.5% | 16.6% | 17.5% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 18.4% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.4% |