Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.2 in
- RP forecast
- 9.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.2 in | 9.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.6 in | 17.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.5 mph | 95.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.9 in | 14.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.5 in | 8.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 99 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 42.7% | 46.4% | 46.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.4% | 28.2% | 28.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 30.0% | 26.6% | 28.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 28.6% | 35.8% | 37.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 50.0% | 42.2% | 39.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 22.2% | 11.6% | 11.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.2% | 21.6% | 23.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 50.8% | 51.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.3% | 44.3% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.1% | 31.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.4% | 2.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 38.0% | 39.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.7% | 13.0% | — |