Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.8 in
- RP forecast
- 11.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.8 in | 11.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.4 in | 15.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.3 mph | 96.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.2 in | 2.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.5 in | 15.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.2% | 47.6% | 47.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.4% | 27.9% | 28.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 31.3% | 28.2% | 29.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 51.9% | 45.4% | 47.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 45.6% | 41.4% | 39.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 16.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.2% | 21.9% | 24.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 34.5% | 35.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.4% | 49.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 37.9% | 38.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.2% | 15.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.6% | 28.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.0% | 16.2% | — |