Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 16.1 in
- RP forecast
- 16.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.1 in | 16.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.5 in | 10.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.2 mph | 96.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.0 in | 15.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.4 in | 17.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 106 | 102 | 104 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 105 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 42.6% | 46.3% | 46.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.9% | 30.5% | 31.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 40.0% | 31.0% | 32.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 27.3% | 37.9% | 39.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 27.3% | 38.3% | 35.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 31.3% | 25.3% | 27.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 19.4% | 19.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.7% | 52.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.1% | 32.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 30.1% | 29.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.4% | 29.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.3% | 17.5% | — |