Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.7 in
- RP forecast
- 6.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.7 in | 6.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.5 in | 16.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.7 mph | 94.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.0 in | 17.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.7 in | 9.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 96 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 46.7% | 47.5% | 47.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.8% | 26.8% | 27.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 26.4% | 24.7% | 26.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 23.3% | 31.3% | 33.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 16.7% | 36.1% | 33.7% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.1% | 18.3% | 20.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 15.5% | 16.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.4% | 53.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 23.1% | 23.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 34.1% | 33.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.1% | 30.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.9% | 24.1% | — |