Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.5 in
- RP forecast
- 10.4 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.5 in | 10.4 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.8 in | 13.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.8 mph | 95.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.0 in | 14.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.8 in | 7.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 98 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.8% | 48.3% | 48.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.5% | 29.6% | 30.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 24.2% | 23.7% | 25.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 35.3% | 39.3% | 41.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.3% | 39.9% | 37.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.2% | 20.7% | 22.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 13.2% | 13.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 65.1% | 65.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 47.7% | 48.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.9% | 22.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 23.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.5% | 14.7% | — |