Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.7 in
- RP forecast
- 5.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.53 | 1.16 | 29.0% | 8.0% | 42.7% |
| RP | 3.07 | 1.12 | 31.1% | 8.3% | 44.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.7 in | 5.7 in | 5.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.0 in | 17.1 in | 17.0 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 97.7 mph | 98.3 mph | 97.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.4 in | 11.6 in | 11.4 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.0 in | 17.2 in | 17.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 111 | 106 | 107 | 106 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 106 | 107 | 106 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | 107 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 94 | 94 | 94 |
| Zone rate | 48.9% | 49.1% | 48.9% | 49.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 34.4% | 31.2% | 31.8% | 31.2% |
| Whiff rate | 29.4% | 29.0% | 30.8% | 29.0% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.3% | 42.7% | 44.7% | 42.7% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.3% | 38.8% | 36.4% | 38.8% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Strikeout rate | 31.4% | 29.0% | 31.1% | 29.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 16.1% | 16.6% | 16.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 81.3% | 81.3% | 81.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.5% | 43.1% | 42.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.4% | 25.7% | 24.4% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.5% | 16.8% | 17.5% |