Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 16.2 in
- RP forecast
- 16.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.2 in | 16.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 7.1 in | 7.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 98.2 mph | 98.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.9 in | 4.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.0 in | 17.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 110 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 106 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 93 | 94 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 48.8% | 48.7% | 48.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.3% | 28.4% | 29.0% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.0% | 22.8% | 24.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.9% | 44.6% | 46.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.9% | 42.8% | 40.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 20.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 10.0% | 17.4% | 19.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.4% | 33.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.6% | 57.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.9% | 50.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.9% | 7.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.9% | 30.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 10.7% | 9.9% | — |