Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 13.7 in
- RP forecast
- 13.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.41 | 1.34 | 18.8% | 7.5% | 46.9% |
| RP | 3.95 | 1.30 | 20.9% | 7.8% | 48.9% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.7 in | 13.6 in | 13.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 8.1 in | 8.1 in | 8.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.9 mph | 91.5 mph | 90.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.7 in | 15.8 in | 15.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.8 in | 4.9 in | 4.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 87 | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | 91 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 47.6% | 47.6% | 47.3% | 47.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.6% | 28.0% | 28.6% | 28.0% |
| Whiff rate | 21.6% | 21.9% | 23.6% | 21.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.2% | 46.9% | 48.9% | 46.9% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.9% | 40.3% | 37.8% | 40.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 19.1% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 18.8% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.7% | 26.2% | 25.7% |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.6% | 61.6% | 61.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.4% | 28.0% | 27.4% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 19.0% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.7% | 22.0% | 22.7% |