Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.0 in
- RP forecast
- 6.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.0 in | 6.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.6 in | 17.6 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.6 mph | 93.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 2.3 in | 2.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.3 in | 9.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 88 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 42.3% | 46.1% | 45.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.1% | 27.3% | 27.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 35.5% | 27.6% | 29.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 24.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 24.3% | 34.3% | 36.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 54.1% | 42.9% | 40.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.4% | 19.7% | 21.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.4% | 36.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.7% | 53.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 40.1% | 40.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.0% | 9.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.3% | 27.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.1% | 10.4% | — |